Los Angeles Kings at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-12-10 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 1 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

NYI: 45.6%

LAK: 54.4%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.07

LAK: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NYI at home vs LAK: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-13	NYI 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2026-03-05	LAK 5 - 3 NYI	LAK	LAK
2025-03-11	LAK 4 - 1 NYI	LAK	LAK
2024-12-10	NYI 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2024-03-11	LAK 3 - 0 NYI	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	6	0	0.44
1	LAK	19	0	1.19
2	NYI	14	1	0.81
2	LAK	21	1	1.58
3	NYI	14	0	1.11
3	LAK	9	1	0.92

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 1 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0