Calgary Flames at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2024-12-10 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 3 - 4 Calgary Flames

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 54.7%

CGY: 45.3%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.09

CGY: 2.74

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

CGY

Dan Vladar - 12-11-6 | 0.898 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	28	24	4	85.7%	2.38	0	-1.62
CGY	Dan Vladar	20	17	3	85.0%	2.10	2	-0.90

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NSH at home vs CGY: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	CGY 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	CGY
2025-12-02	NSH 5 - 1 CGY	NSH	NSH
2025-11-01	NSH 4 - 2 CGY	NSH	NSH
2025-01-04	CGY 1 - 4 NSH	NSH	CGY
2024-12-10	NSH 3 - 4 CGY	CGY	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	10	0	0.72
1	CGY	14	0	0.67
2	NSH	7	0	0.34
2	CGY	25	0	1.24
3	NSH	11	2	1.04
3	CGY	6	0	0.48

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 3 - 4 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.1 - 2.7