Calgary Flames at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2024-12-10 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 3 - 4 Calgary Flames
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 56.4%
CGY: 43.6%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.48
CGY: 3.20
Total Goals
Median: 6.9
Over 5.5: 69%
Over 6.5: 55%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 21-17-5 | 0.892 SV% | 3.20 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
| Stat | NSH | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.877 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.930 | 0.864 |
| GAA | 2.93 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NSH at home vs CGY: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | CGY 3 - 4 NSH | NSH | CGY |
| 2025-12-02 | NSH 5 - 1 CGY | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-11-01 | NSH 4 - 2 CGY | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-01-04 | CGY 1 - 4 NSH | NSH | CGY |
| 2024-12-10 | NSH 3 - 4 CGY | CGY | NSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:45 | NSH | Goal |
| 1 | 10:22 | NSH | Goal |
| 1 | 10:52 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 02:27 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 07:41 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 13:49 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 18:41 | CGY | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 3 - 4 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.5 - 3.2