Minnesota Wild at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2024-12-10 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 4 - 5 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 55.0%
MIN: 45.0%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.41
MIN: 3.29
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 38%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 86% • UTA at home vs MIN: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | MIN 5 - 0 UTA | MIN | MIN |
| 2026-02-27 | UTA 5 - 2 MIN | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-10-25 | MIN 2 - 6 UTA | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-02-27 | UTA 6 - 1 MIN | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-01-23 | MIN 0 - 4 UTA | UTA | UTA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UTA | 10 | 0 | 0.54 |
| 1 | MIN | 25 | 0 | 0.90 |
| 2 | UTA | 9 | 1 | 0.84 |
| 2 | MIN | 17 | 0 | 0.92 |
| 3 | UTA | 14 | 2 | 1.44 |
| 3 | MIN | 18 | 4 | 2.09 |
| 4 | UTA | 5 | 0 | 0.36 |
| 4 | MIN | 3 | 0 | 0.21 |
| 5 | UTA | 3 | 0 | 0.19 |
| 5 | MIN | 2 | 1 | 0.97 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 4 - 5 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.4 - 3.3
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