St. Louis Blues at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-12-10 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 57.6%

STL: 42.4%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.28

STL: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • VAN at home vs STL: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	VAN 1 - 3 STL	STL	STL
2025-10-30	STL 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	STL
2025-10-13	VAN 2 - 5 STL	STL	VAN
2025-03-20	STL 4 - 3 VAN	STL	STL
2025-01-27	STL 2 - 5 VAN	VAN	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	11	1	0.93
1	STL	10	1	0.81
2	VAN	14	1	1.13
2	STL	16	0	1.19
3	VAN	13	1	1.08
3	STL	9	0	0.52
4	VAN	0	0	0.00
4	STL	2	0	0.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9