St. Louis Blues at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-12-10 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

VAN: 46.0%

STL: 54.0%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.35

STL: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	25	21	4	84.0%	2.70	1	-1.30
STL	Joel Hofer	25	22	3	88.0%	3.14	3	0.14

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VAN at home vs STL: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	VAN 1 - 3 STL	STL	STL
2025-10-30	STL 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	STL
2025-10-13	VAN 2 - 5 STL	STL	VAN
2025-03-20	STL 4 - 3 VAN	STL	STL
2025-01-27	STL 2 - 5 VAN	VAN	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	11	1	0.93
1	STL	10	1	0.81
2	VAN	14	1	1.13
2	STL	16	0	1.19
3	VAN	13	1	1.08
3	STL	9	0	0.52
4	VAN	0	0	0.00
4	STL	2	0	0.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1