St. Louis Blues at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2024-12-10 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 St. Louis Blues
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 57.3%
STL: 42.7%
Expected Goals
VAN: 3.01
STL: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
| Stat | VAN | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.869 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.793 | 0.826 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.905 | 0.894 |
| GAA | 3.41 | 3.56 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 38% • VAN at home vs STL: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 | STL 3 - 4 VAN | VAN | STL |
| 2025-10-13 | VAN 2 - 5 STL | STL | VAN |
| 2025-03-20 | STL 4 - 3 VAN | STL | STL |
| 2025-01-27 | STL 2 - 5 VAN | VAN | STL |
| 2024-12-10 | VAN 3 - 4 STL | STL | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:02 | VAN | Goal |
| 1 | 09:15 | VAN | Goal |
| 1 | 17:30 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 16:18 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 18:32 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:08 | VAN | Goal |
| 4 | 01:40 | STL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.0 - 2.9