BUF vs NYR - 2024-12-11
2024-12-11 • KeyBank Center
BUF 2 - 3 NYR
🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 68.8%
NYR: 31.2%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.28
NYR: 3.02
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:01 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 13:29 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 15:09 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 17:58 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 19:22 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 68.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
BUF 2 - 3 NYR
Expected: 3.3 - 3.0