Anaheim Ducks at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2024-12-11 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 5 - 1 Anaheim Ducks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 61.9%
ANA: 38.1%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.26
ANA: 2.72
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
| Stat | OTT | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.882 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.920 | — |
| GAA | 2.95 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • OTT at home vs ANA: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 | ANA 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | ANA |
| 2024-12-11 | OTT 5 - 1 ANA | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-12-01 | ANA 4 - 3 OTT | ANA | ANA |
| 2024-03-06 | ANA 2 - 1 OTT | ANA | ANA |
| 2024-02-15 | OTT 1 - 5 ANA | ANA | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:55 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 11:15 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 18:25 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 10:30 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 08:58 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 12:42 | OTT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 5 - 1 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.3 - 2.7