Anaheim Ducks at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2024-12-12 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

TOR: 70.9%

ANA: 29.1%

Expected Goals

TOR: 3.25

ANA: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • TOR at home vs ANA: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-30	ANA 4 - 5 TOR	TOR	ANA
2026-03-12	TOR 6 - 4 ANA	TOR	ANA
2025-03-30	ANA 2 - 3 TOR	TOR	ANA
2024-12-12	TOR 3 - 2 ANA	TOR	TOR
2024-02-17	TOR 9 - 2 ANA	TOR	TOR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	TOR	14	0	1.11
1	ANA	13	0	0.69
2	TOR	19	1	1.74
2	ANA	18	0	1.05
3	TOR	18	1	1.54
3	ANA	6	0	0.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2