Anaheim Ducks at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2024-12-12 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 2 Anaheim Ducks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 61.8%
ANA: 38.2%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.34
ANA: 3.06
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
| Stat | TOR | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.910 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.74 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • TOR at home vs ANA: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-30 | ANA 2 - 3 TOR | TOR | ANA |
| 2024-12-12 | TOR 3 - 2 ANA | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-02-17 | TOR 9 - 2 ANA | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-01-03 | ANA 1 - 2 TOR | TOR | ANA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:57 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 14:17 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 15:56 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 12:54 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 13:59 | TOR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 2 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.3 - 3.1