Pittsburgh Penguins at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2024-12-12 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 2 - 9 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

MTL: 43.3%

PIT: 56.7%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.07

PIT: 3.97

Total Goals

Median: 8.4

Over 5.5: 86%

Over 6.5: 76%

MTL

Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA

PIT

Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MTL at home vs PIT: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-21	PIT 4 - 3 MTL	PIT	PIT
2025-12-20	MTL 4 - 0 PIT	MTL	PIT
2025-12-11	PIT 2 - 4 MTL	MTL	PIT
2024-12-12	MTL 2 - 9 PIT	PIT	PIT
2024-11-02	PIT 3 - 1 MTL	PIT	PIT

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	02:12	MTL	Goal
1	04:18	MTL	Goal
2	10:03	PIT	Goal
2	13:27	PIT	Goal
2	14:36	PIT	Goal
3	04:40	PIT	Goal
3	07:42	PIT	Goal
3	08:41	PIT	Goal
3	11:56	PIT	Goal
3	14:20	PIT	Goal
3	18:42	PIT	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 2 - 9 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.1 - 4.0