Detroit Red Wings at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2024-12-12 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 62.3%
DET: 37.7%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.20
DET: 2.65
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | PHI | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.918 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • PHI at home vs DET: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-21 | PHI 2 - 1 DET | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-12-18 | DET 6 - 4 PHI | DET | DET |
| 2024-12-12 | PHI 4 - 1 DET | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-01-25 | DET 3 - 0 PHI | DET | DET |
| 2023-12-22 | DET 7 - 6 PHI | DET | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 13:22 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 01:31 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 16:07 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 18:53 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:47 | PHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.2 - 2.7