Washington Capitals at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2024-12-12 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 2 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

CBJ: 45.5%

WSH: 54.5%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.84

WSH: 3.26

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 45%

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

WSH

Charlie Lindgren - 6-4-2 | 0.887 SV% | 3.07 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Jet Greaves	37	35	2	94.6%	3.19	3	1.19
WSH	Charlie Lindgren	33	32	1	97.0%	3.36	2	2.36

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • CBJ at home vs WSH: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	CBJ 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	CBJ
2025-12-07	WSH 2 - 0 CBJ	WSH	WSH
2025-11-24	WSH 5 - 1 CBJ	WSH	WSH
2025-10-24	CBJ 1 - 5 WSH	WSH	CBJ
2025-04-13	WSH 1 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	10	0	0.58
1	WSH	19	1	0.93
2	CBJ	23	1	1.88
2	WSH	21	2	1.39
3	CBJ	9	1	0.67
3	WSH	16	0	0.82
4	CBJ	3	0	0.23
4	WSH	1	0	0.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 2 Washington Capitals

Expected: 2.8 - 3.3