Chicago Blackhawks at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2024-12-12 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 5 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 60.2%
CHI: 39.8%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.46
CHI: 2.57
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 19-25-11 | 0.902 SV% | 2.82 GAA
| Stat | NYI | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.851 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.917 | 0.905 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYI at home vs CHI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | NYI 3 - 4 CHI | CHI | NYI |
| 2025-12-30 | CHI 2 - 3 NYI | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-12-15 | CHI 5 - 3 NYI | CHI | NYI |
| 2024-12-12 | NYI 5 - 4 CHI | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-04-02 | NYI 2 - 1 CHI | NYI | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:47 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 06:59 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 14:06 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 05:39 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 06:36 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 07:58 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 11:04 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 18:50 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:50 | NYI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 5 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.5 - 2.6
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