San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2024-12-12 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 San Jose Sharks
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 56.3%
SJS: 43.7%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.26
SJS: 3.19
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 74%
Over 6.5: 59%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Joel Hofer - 24-13-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.61 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
| Stat | STL | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.908 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | 0.892 |
| GAA | 2.87 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • STL at home vs SJS: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | SJS 5 - 4 STL | SJS | SJS |
| 2026-03-26 | STL 2 - 1 SJS | STL | SJS |
| 2026-03-06 | SJS 2 - 3 STL | STL | SJS |
| 2024-12-12 | STL 3 - 4 SJS | SJS | STL |
| 2024-11-21 | STL 3 - 2 SJS | STL | STL |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.3 - 3.2
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.