San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2024-12-12 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 San Jose Sharks
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 55.6%
SJS: 44.4%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.97
SJS: 3.01
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
| Stat | STL | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.826 | 0.874 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.56 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • STL at home vs SJS: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-12 | STL 3 - 4 SJS | SJS | STL |
| 2024-11-21 | STL 3 - 2 SJS | STL | STL |
| 2024-10-10 | SJS 4 - 5 STL | STL | SJS |
| 2024-04-06 | SJS 3 - 2 STL | SJS | SJS |
| 2024-03-30 | STL 0 - 4 SJS | SJS | STL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:21 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 10:26 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 05:43 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 19:53 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 05:34 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 06:01 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 07:57 | SJS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.0 - 3.0