Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2024-12-12 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 1 - 7 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

MIN: 40.1%

EDM: 59.9%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.92

EDM: 3.54

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 47%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

EDM

Calvin Pickard - 4-5-2 | 0.874 SV% | 3.69 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	35	28	7	80.0%	2.74	0	-4.26
EDM	Calvin Pickard	30	29	1	96.7%	2.10	1	1.10

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • MIN at home vs EDM: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	EDM 3 - 7 MIN	MIN	EDM
2025-12-20	MIN 5 - 2 EDM	MIN	EDM
2025-12-02	EDM 0 - 1 MIN	MIN	EDM
2025-01-15	MIN 3 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-12-12	MIN 1 - 7 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	16	1	0.96
1	EDM	20	0	0.97
2	MIN	9	0	0.49
2	EDM	17	0	1.13
3	MIN	16	0	0.64
3	EDM	12	0	0.64

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 1 - 7 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.5