Utah Hockey Club at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2024-12-12 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 1 - 4 Utah Hockey Club

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 59.7%

UTA: 40.3%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.21

UTA: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • COL at home vs UTA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	UTA 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2025-12-23	COL 1 - 0 UTA	COL	COL
2025-10-21	UTA 4 - 3 COL	UTA	UTA
2025-10-09	COL 2 - 1 UTA	COL	COL
2024-12-27	UTA 1 - 4 COL	COL	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	10	0	0.61
1	UTA	13	1	0.86
2	COL	16	1	1.11
2	UTA	12	0	0.76
3	COL	13	0	0.89
3	UTA	9	2	1.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 1 - 4 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9