Utah Hockey Club at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2024-12-12 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 1 - 4 Utah Hockey Club
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 56.9%
UTA: 43.1%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.39
UTA: 2.94
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | COL | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.951 | 0.878 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.945 | 0.895 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 57% • COL at home vs UTA: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | UTA 2 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-12-23 | COL 1 - 0 UTA | COL | COL |
| 2025-10-21 | UTA 4 - 3 COL | UTA | COL |
| 2025-10-09 | COL 2 - 1 UTA | COL | UTA |
| 2024-12-27 | UTA 1 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:26 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 08:05 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 09:52 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 15:26 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 15:49 | UTA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 1 - 4 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.4 - 2.9
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