Ottawa Senators at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2024-12-13 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 0 - 3 Ottawa Senators
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 62.0%
OTT: 38.0%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.19
OTT: 2.58
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | CAR | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.915 | 0.882 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.938 | — |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs OTT: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 | CAR 4 - 3 OTT | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-01-24 | OTT 1 - 4 CAR | CAR | OTT |
| 2025-04-17 | OTT 7 - 5 CAR | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-12-13 | CAR 0 - 3 OTT | OTT | CAR |
| 2024-11-16 | CAR 4 - 0 OTT | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 04:04 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 14:45 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 19:13 | OTT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 0 - 3 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 3.2 - 2.6