Los Angeles Kings at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-12-14 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 1 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

NYR: 38.8%

LAK: 61.2%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.85

LAK: 3.34

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 41%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	32	27	5	84.4%	3.66	3	-1.34
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	32	31	1	96.9%	2.61	1	1.61

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • NYR at home vs LAK: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-16	NYR 1 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2026-01-20	LAK 4 - 3 NYR	LAK	LAK
2025-03-25	LAK 3 - 1 NYR	LAK	LAK
2024-12-14	NYR 1 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2024-01-20	LAK 2 - 1 NYR	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	11	0	0.40
1	LAK	23	1	1.61
2	NYR	20	1	1.13
2	LAK	10	2	1.30
3	NYR	18	0	1.09
3	LAK	12	0	0.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 1 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 2.9 - 3.3