Los Angeles Kings at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2024-12-14 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 1 - 5 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 56.0%
LAK: 44.0%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.07
LAK: 3.05
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | NYR | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.942 | 0.866 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.750 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • NYR at home vs LAK: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 | LAK 4 - 3 NYR | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-03-25 | LAK 3 - 1 NYR | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-12-14 | NYR 1 - 5 LAK | LAK | NYR |
| 2024-01-20 | LAK 2 - 1 NYR | LAK | LAK |
| 2023-12-10 | NYR 4 - 1 LAK | NYR | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:05 | LAK | Goal |
| 1 | 15:06 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 02:46 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 04:40 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 05:04 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 12:17 | LAK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 1 - 5 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0