Philadelphia Flyers at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2024-12-14 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 4 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 57.7%
PHI: 42.3%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.24
PHI: 2.78
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | MIN | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.836 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.923 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs PHI: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | MIN 2 - 3 PHI | PHI | MIN |
| 2025-10-18 | PHI 2 - 1 MIN | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-12-14 | MIN 4 - 1 PHI | MIN | MIN |
| 2024-10-26 | PHI 7 - 5 MIN | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-01-12 | MIN 3 - 4 PHI | PHI | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:18 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 15:21 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 09:34 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 14:18 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 17:50 | MIN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 4 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.2 - 2.8
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.