Philadelphia Flyers at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2024-12-14 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 4 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

MIN: 52.8%

PHI: 47.2%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.28

PHI: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs PHI: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	MIN 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	MIN
2025-10-18	PHI 2 - 1 MIN	PHI	PHI
2024-12-14	MIN 4 - 1 PHI	MIN	MIN
2024-10-26	PHI 7 - 5 MIN	PHI	PHI
2024-01-12	MIN 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	11	0	0.51
1	PHI	15	0	0.89
2	MIN	12	0	0.76
2	PHI	7	0	0.57
3	MIN	7	1	0.87
3	PHI	13	0	0.29

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 4 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1