Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-12-14 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

EDM: 65.4%

VGK: 34.6%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.91

VGK: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • EDM at home vs VGK: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	EDM 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-03-26	VGK 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	VGK
2026-03-08	VGK 2 - 4 EDM	EDM	VGK
2025-12-21	EDM 4 - 3 VGK	EDM	EDM
2025-05-14	VGK 0 - 1 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	18	0	1.17
1	VGK	18	2	1.71
2	EDM	14	3	1.84
2	VGK	27	3	1.77
3	EDM	11	2	1.00
3	VGK	19	3	2.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.9 - 3.1