Pittsburgh Penguins at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2024-12-14 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

OTT: 55.9%

PIT: 44.1%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.41

PIT: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • OTT at home vs PIT: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	OTT 3 - 4 PIT	PIT	OTT
2026-02-02	PIT 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-12-18	OTT 4 - 0 PIT	OTT	OTT
2025-03-30	PIT 1 - 0 OTT	PIT	PIT
2025-01-11	PIT 0 - 5 OTT	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	13	0	0.54
1	PIT	8	0	0.53
2	OTT	16	0	1.49
2	PIT	17	0	0.91
3	OTT	13	1	0.83
3	PIT	12	1	0.62
4	OTT	2	0	0.16
4	PIT	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9