Pittsburgh Penguins at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2024-12-14 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 51.5%
PIT: 48.5%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.44
PIT: 2.85
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | OTT | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.886 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.938 | 0.900 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • OTT at home vs PIT: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | OTT 3 - 4 PIT | PIT | OTT |
| 2026-02-02 | PIT 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | PIT |
| 2025-12-18 | OTT 4 - 0 PIT | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-03-30 | PIT 1 - 0 OTT | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-01-11 | PIT 0 - 5 OTT | OTT | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:34 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 02:40 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 06:38 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 12:42 | OTT | Goal |
| 4 | 01:46 | OTT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8
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