Montreal Canadiens at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2024-12-14 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 4 - 2 Montreal Canadiens
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 63.6%
MTL: 36.4%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.40
MTL: 2.78
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
| Stat | WPG | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.903 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.846 | 0.938 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs MTL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | WPG 1 - 5 MTL | MTL | WPG |
| 2025-12-03 | MTL 3 - 2 WPG | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-01-28 | MTL 1 - 4 WPG | WPG | MTL |
| 2024-12-14 | WPG 4 - 2 MTL | WPG | WPG |
| 2023-12-18 | WPG 2 - 3 MTL | MTL | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:48 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 14:34 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 16:40 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 06:26 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 08:00 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 19:53 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 4 - 2 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8