St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2024-12-14 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 2 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

DAL: 63.3%

STL: 36.7%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.54

STL: 2.69

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • DAL at home vs STL: 6-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	DAL 5 - 4 STL	DAL	DAL
2026-01-27	STL 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	STL
2026-01-23	DAL 3 - 2 STL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-18	STL 3 - 1 DAL	STL	STL
2025-03-02	DAL 6 - 3 STL	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	14	1	0.97
1	STL	12	0	1.32
2	DAL	21	2	1.94
2	STL	6	0	0.17
3	DAL	18	0	0.75
3	STL	8	2	0.85
4	DAL	3	0	0.34
4	STL	1	0	0.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 2 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.5 - 2.7