Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2024-12-14 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 5 - 2 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

COL: 71.5%

NSH: 28.5%

Expected Goals

COL: 4.07

NSH: 2.56

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

COL

Mackenzie Blackwood - 13-1-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.07 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Mackenzie Blackwood	39	37	2	94.9%	2.91	1	0.91
NSH	Juuse Saros	33	28	5	84.8%	3.56	3	-1.44

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • COL at home vs NSH: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	COL 3 - 7 NSH	NSH	COL
2025-12-13	COL 4 - 2 NSH	COL	COL
2025-12-09	NSH 4 - 3 COL	NSH	COL
2025-11-22	NSH 0 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-02-22	NSH 2 - 1 COL	NSH	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	11	0	0.30
1	NSH	16	1	0.81
2	COL	14	1	1.27
2	NSH	19	0	1.13
3	COL	18	2	1.99
3	NSH	14	0	0.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 5 - 2 Nashville Predators

Expected: 4.1 - 2.6