Utah Hockey Club at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2024-12-14 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Utah Hockey Club
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 55.6%
UTA: 44.4%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.72
UTA: 3.02
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
| Stat | SJS | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.874 | 0.897 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.883 | 0.800 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SJS at home vs UTA: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-01 | SJS 6 - 3 UTA | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-11-18 | SJS 3 - 2 UTA | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-10-17 | UTA 6 - 3 SJS | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-01-10 | UTA 2 - 1 SJS | UTA | UTA |
| 2024-12-14 | SJS 3 - 4 UTA | UTA | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:58 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 07:27 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 18:52 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 14:11 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 19:16 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 09:49 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 05:00 | SJS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 2.7 - 3.0