Tampa Bay Lightning at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2024-12-14 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 1 - 5 Tampa Bay Lightning

Win Probability

SEA: 45.3%

TBL: 54.7%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.85

TBL: 3.75

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs TBL: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	TBL 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	TBL
2026-03-17	SEA 2 - 6 TBL	TBL	TBL
2025-02-23	TBL 4 - 1 SEA	TBL	TBL
2024-12-14	SEA 1 - 5 TBL	TBL	TBL
2023-12-09	SEA 3 - 4 TBL	TBL	TBL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	13	1	0.85
1	TBL	13	1	0.80
2	SEA	12	3	1.63
2	TBL	22	2	1.42
3	SEA	10	0	0.43
3	TBL	13	1	1.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 1 - 5 Tampa Bay Lightning

Expected: 2.8 - 3.7