Tampa Bay Lightning at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2024-12-14 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 1 - 5 Tampa Bay Lightning
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 39.7%
TBL: 60.3%
Expected Goals
SEA: 2.90
TBL: 2.95
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Joey Daccord - 20-20-6 | 0.896 SV% | 3.03 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA
| Stat | SEA | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.854 | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.842 |
| GAA | 2.77 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SEA at home vs TBL: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | TBL 3 - 4 SEA | SEA | TBL |
| 2026-03-17 | SEA 2 - 6 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-02-23 | TBL 4 - 1 SEA | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-12-14 | SEA 1 - 5 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2023-12-09 | SEA 3 - 4 TBL | TBL | SEA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:24 | SEA | Goal |
| 1 | 08:16 | SEA | Goal |
| 1 | 13:21 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 04:03 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 16:08 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:38 | TBL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 1 - 5 Tampa Bay Lightning
Expected: 2.9 - 2.9
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