New York Islanders at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2024-12-15 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 5 - 3 New York Islanders
🚨 Upset Win (64% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 36.2%
NYI: 63.8%
Expected Goals
CHI: 2.85
NYI: 3.31
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
Spencer Knight - 19-25-11 | 0.902 SV% | 2.82 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
| Stat | CHI | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.851 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.905 | 0.917 |
| GAA | 2.63 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CHI at home vs NYI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | NYI 3 - 4 CHI | CHI | NYI |
| 2025-12-30 | CHI 2 - 3 NYI | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-12-15 | CHI 5 - 3 NYI | CHI | NYI |
| 2024-12-12 | NYI 5 - 4 CHI | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-04-02 | NYI 2 - 1 CHI | NYI | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:08 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 18:43 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 19:40 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 02:25 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 15:19 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 00:47 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:06 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:49 | CHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 63.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 5 - 3 New York Islanders
Expected: 2.8 - 3.3
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