Buffalo Sabres at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2024-12-15 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 5 - 3 Buffalo Sabres
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 58.3%
BUF: 41.7%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.42
BUF: 2.94
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | TOR | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.910 | 0.934 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.800 | 0.912 |
| GAA | 2.74 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • TOR at home vs BUF: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | TOR 4 - 7 BUF | BUF | TOR |
| 2025-10-25 | TOR 4 - 3 BUF | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-10-24 | BUF 5 - 3 TOR | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-04-15 | BUF 0 - 4 TOR | TOR | BUF |
| 2024-12-20 | BUF 3 - 6 TOR | TOR | BUF |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:03 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 02:46 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 15:45 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 09:11 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 11:20 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 12:41 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 13:51 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 17:48 | TOR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 5 - 3 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.4 - 2.9