Columbus Blue Jackets at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-12-15 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

CAR: 81.3%

CBJ: 18.7%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.63

CBJ: 2.51

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 41%

CAR

D. Tokarski

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	D. Tokarski	28	27	1	96.4%	1.80	1	0.80
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	28	24	4	85.7%	2.70	2	-1.30

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • CAR at home vs CBJ: 8-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	CAR 5 - 1 CBJ	CAR	CAR
2026-03-31	CBJ 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CBJ
2026-03-17	CBJ 5 - 1 CAR	CBJ	CAR
2025-12-09	CAR 4 - 1 CBJ	CAR	CAR
2025-01-23	CAR 7 - 4 CBJ	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	20	1	1.32
1	CBJ	9	0	0.65
2	CAR	16	1	0.80
2	CBJ	13	1	0.68
3	CAR	13	0	0.58
3	CBJ	14	0	0.48

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 81.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 4.6 - 2.5