New York Rangers at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2024-12-15 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 3 - 2 New York Rangers

Win Probability

STL: 52.5%

NYR: 47.5%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.88

NYR: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 46%

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

NYR

Jonathan Quick - 3-6-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.11 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Joel Hofer	28	26	2	92.9%	1.40	0	-0.60
NYR	Jonathan Quick	24	21	3	87.5%	1.95	0	-1.05

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • STL at home vs NYR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-18	STL 1 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-11-24	NYR 3 - 2 STL	NYR	NYR
2024-12-15	STL 3 - 2 NYR	STL	STL
2024-11-25	NYR 2 - 5 STL	STL	NYR
2024-03-09	NYR 4 - 0 STL	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	STL	8	0.51
1	NYR	11	0.41
2	STL	13	1.09
2	NYR	15	0.54
3	STL	12	0.35
3	NYR	12	0.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 3 - 2 New York Rangers

Expected: 2.9 - 2.9