Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-12-16 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 6 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 59.1%

FLA: 40.9%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.51

FLA: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • EDM at home vs FLA: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	EDM 0 - 4 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-11-22	FLA 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	FLA
2025-06-17	FLA 5 - 1 EDM	FLA	FLA
2025-06-14	EDM 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-06-12	FLA 4 - 5 EDM	EDM	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	13	2	1.49
1	FLA	13	1	0.97
2	EDM	11	0	0.55
2	FLA	14	0	0.60
3	EDM	12	1	0.61
3	FLA	12	1	1.09

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 6 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0