Colorado Avalanche at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2024-12-16 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 1 Colorado Avalanche
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 57.4%
COL: 42.6%
Expected Goals
VAN: 2.75
COL: 2.93
Total Goals
Median: 5.1
Over 5.5: 48%
Over 6.5: 34%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
| Stat | VAN | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.793 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.873 | 0.909 |
| GAA | 3.41 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • VAN at home vs COL: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-02 | COL 3 - 1 VAN | COL | COL |
| 2025-11-09 | VAN 4 - 5 COL | COL | VAN |
| 2025-04-10 | COL 1 - 4 VAN | VAN | COL |
| 2025-02-04 | VAN 3 - 0 COL | VAN | VAN |
| 2024-12-16 | VAN 3 - 1 COL | VAN | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:14 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 16:04 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 19:14 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 17:25 | VAN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 1 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 2.8 - 2.9