New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-12-17 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 0 New York Islanders

Win Probability

CAR: 68.9%

NYI: 31.1%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.58

NYI: 2.33

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	32	32	0	100.0%	2.34	0	2.34
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	29	25	4	86.2%	2.62	2	-1.38

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • CAR at home vs NYI: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	NYI 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-04-04	CAR 4 - 3 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-10-30	CAR 6 - 2 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-03-30	CAR 6 - 4 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-01-25	NYI 3 - 2 CAR	NYI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	17	2	0.95
1	NYI	20	0	1.18
2	CAR	20	0	1.17
2	NYI	13	0	0.56
3	CAR	10	0	0.49
3	NYI	11	0	0.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 0 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.6 - 2.3