New Jersey Devils at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2024-12-17 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 1 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

STL: 41.5%

NJD: 58.5%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.67

NJD: 3.26

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 35%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	28	24	4	85.7%	3.42	2	-0.58
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	20	19	1	95.0%	2.16	0	1.16

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • STL at home vs NJD: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	STL 1 - 3 NJD	NJD	STL
2025-11-26	NJD 3 - 2 STL	NJD	NJD
2024-12-17	STL 1 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2024-11-27	NJD 0 - 3 STL	STL	NJD
2024-03-07	NJD 4 - 1 STL	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	8	0	0.41
1	NJD	14	0	0.84
2	STL	11	0	0.65
2	NJD	11	1	1.10
3	STL	14	0	1.09
3	NJD	22	1	1.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 1 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.7 - 3.3