Ottawa Senators at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2024-12-17 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 0 - 3 Ottawa Senators
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 52.5%
OTT: 47.5%
Expected Goals
SEA: 2.79
OTT: 3.54
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Joey Daccord - 16-13-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.84 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | SEA | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.919 | 0.882 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.909 |
| GAA | 2.77 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • SEA at home vs OTT: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 | OTT 4 - 3 SEA | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-12-17 | SEA 0 - 3 OTT | OTT | SEA |
| 2024-11-02 | OTT 3 - 0 SEA | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-01-04 | SEA 4 - 1 OTT | SEA | SEA |
| 2023-12-02 | OTT 2 - 0 SEA | OTT | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 08:02 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 12:45 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 04:18 | OTT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 0 - 3 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 2.8 - 3.5