Winnipeg Jets at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2024-12-17 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

SJS: 47.0%

WPG: 53.0%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.02

WPG: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 40%

SJS

Alexandar Georgiev - 15-26-4 | 0.875 SV% | 3.71 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	Alexandar Georgiev	33	29	4	87.9%	2.98	2	-1.02
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	35	32	3	91.4%	2.39	0	-0.61

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • SJS at home vs WPG: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	WPG 1 - 6 SJS	SJS	WPG
2026-03-01	SJS 2 - 1 WPG	SJS	WPG
2025-11-07	SJS 2 - 1 WPG	SJS	WPG
2025-02-24	WPG 2 - 1 SJS	WPG	WPG
2024-12-17	SJS 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	14	0	0.48
1	WPG	14	2	1.02
2	SJS	23	0	1.07
2	WPG	13	0	0.89
3	SJS	17	0	0.84
3	WPG	21	0	1.06

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3