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2025-26 Season Live

Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-12-18 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 6 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers
🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
DET: 49.0%
PHI: 51.0%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.25
PHI: 3.16
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 68%
Over 6.5: 56%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
StatDETPHI
Season SV%0.8930.910
Last 5 SV%0.8620.914
SV% vs Opponent0.8860.837
GAA2.972.40
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DET at home vs PHI: 4-1
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-04-09DET 6 - 3 PHIDETDET
2026-04-02PHI 2 - 4 DETDETPHI
2026-03-28DET 3 - 5 PHIPHIPHI
2025-01-21PHI 2 - 1 DETPHIPHI
2024-12-18DET 6 - 4 PHIDETPHI

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
101:06PHIGoal
118:19DETGoal
210:15DETGoal
210:40DETGoal
216:05DETGoal
217:27DETGoal
303:50DETGoal
305:39DETGoal
307:22DETGoal
318:48DETGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 6 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.2 - 3.2