Florida Panthers at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2024-12-18 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 1 - 6 Florida Panthers
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 55.2%
FLA: 44.8%
Expected Goals
MIN: 2.92
FLA: 2.69
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
| Stat | MIN | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.895 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.882 | 0.857 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 20% • MIN at home vs FLA: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | MIN 3 - 4 FLA | FLA | MIN |
| 2024-12-18 | MIN 1 - 6 FLA | FLA | MIN |
| 2024-10-22 | FLA 1 - 5 MIN | MIN | FLA |
| 2024-01-19 | FLA 4 - 6 MIN | MIN | FLA |
| 2023-10-12 | MIN 2 - 0 FLA | MIN | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:48 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 16:11 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 18:14 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 15:28 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 18:54 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 11:10 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 19:30 | FLA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 1 - 6 Florida Panthers
Expected: 2.9 - 2.7