Florida Panthers at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2024-12-18 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 1 - 6 Florida Panthers
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 52.0%
FLA: 48.0%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.27
FLA: 3.34
Total Goals
Median: 7.5
Over 5.5: 77%
Over 6.5: 63%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | MIN | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.836 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.882 | 0.857 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MIN at home vs FLA: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | FLA 2 - 3 MIN | MIN | MIN |
| 2026-01-24 | MIN 3 - 4 FLA | FLA | MIN |
| 2024-12-18 | MIN 1 - 6 FLA | FLA | MIN |
| 2024-10-22 | FLA 1 - 5 MIN | MIN | MIN |
| 2024-01-19 | FLA 4 - 6 MIN | MIN | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:48 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 16:11 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 18:14 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 15:28 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 18:54 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 11:10 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 19:30 | FLA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 1 - 6 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.3 - 3.3
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