Vancouver Canucks at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2024-12-18 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 3 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

UTA: 69.6%

VAN: 30.4%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.51

VAN: 2.63

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	26	24	2	92.3%	2.91	2	0.91
VAN	Thatcher Demko	31	28	3	90.3%	3.84	5	0.84

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • UTA at home vs VAN: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	VAN 4 - 7 UTA	UTA	UTA
2026-02-02	UTA 6 - 2 VAN	UTA	UTA
2025-12-05	VAN 1 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-03-16	VAN 1 - 3 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-02-23	UTA 2 - 1 VAN	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	13	2	1.34
1	VAN	4	0	0.21
2	UTA	12	2	0.99
2	VAN	16	2	1.14
3	UTA	11	1	1.02
3	VAN	13	0	1.10
4	UTA	4	0	0.49
4	VAN	4	0	0.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 3 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.6