Winnipeg Jets at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2024-12-18 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

ANA: 59.3%

WPG: 40.7%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.28

WPG: 3.33

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	23	21	2	91.3%	2.70	2	0.70
WPG	Eric Comrie	31	28	3	90.3%	3.44	1	0.44

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • ANA at home vs WPG: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-09	WPG 1 - 5 ANA	ANA	ANA
2026-03-10	WPG 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	WPG
2026-02-27	ANA 5 - 4 WPG	ANA	ANA
2025-11-09	ANA 4 - 1 WPG	ANA	ANA
2025-04-16	WPG 2 - 1 ANA	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	19	1	1.32
1	WPG	6	0	0.43
2	ANA	16	0	1.51
2	WPG	8	0	0.29
3	ANA	13	0	0.61
3	WPG	20	2	1.98

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.3 - 3.3