Los Angeles Kings at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2024-12-19 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 7 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 57.5%
LAK: 42.5%
Expected Goals
PHI: 2.86
LAK: 3.27
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | PHI | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.918 | 0.866 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.857 | 0.905 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 20% • PHI at home vs LAK: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | PHI 2 - 3 LAK | LAK | PHI |
| 2024-12-29 | LAK 5 - 4 PHI | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-12-19 | PHI 3 - 7 LAK | LAK | PHI |
| 2023-11-11 | LAK 2 - 4 PHI | PHI | LAK |
| 2023-11-04 | PHI 0 - 5 LAK | LAK | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:53 | LAK | Goal |
| 1 | 14:11 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 01:31 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 11:30 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 15:04 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 19:16 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 01:54 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 10:39 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 16:23 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 17:34 | LAK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 7 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 2.9 - 3.3