Pittsburgh Penguins at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2024-12-19 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 4 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 56.5%
PIT: 43.5%
Expected Goals
NSH: 2.96
PIT: 3.11
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 21-17-5 | 0.892 SV% | 3.20 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | NSH | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.895 | — |
| GAA | 2.93 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NSH at home vs PIT: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 | PIT 4 - 0 NSH | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-11-14 | NSH 2 - 1 PIT | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-02-01 | PIT 3 - 0 NSH | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-12-19 | NSH 4 - 5 PIT | PIT | NSH |
| 2024-04-15 | PIT 4 - 2 NSH | PIT | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:57 | NSH | Goal |
| 1 | 16:21 | NSH | Goal |
| 1 | 03:51 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 09:08 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 07:54 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 03:38 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 11:36 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 07:44 | NSH | Goal |
| 4 | 01:07 | PIT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 4 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.0 - 3.1