Ottawa Senators at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2024-12-19 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

CGY: 33.5%

OTT: 66.5%

Expected Goals

CGY: 2.44

OTT: 3.41

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 39%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • CGY at home vs OTT: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-05	CGY 1 - 4 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-10-30	OTT 4 - 3 CGY	OTT	OTT
2024-12-19	CGY 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-11-25	OTT 4 - 3 CGY	OTT	OTT
2024-01-09	CGY 6 - 3 OTT	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	17	0	1.07
1	OTT	13	0	0.67
2	CGY	14	0	0.65
2	OTT	16	0	0.96
3	CGY	22	1	1.25
3	OTT	11	0	0.42
4	CGY	1	0	0.17
4	OTT	3	1	0.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 2.4 - 3.4