Boston Bruins at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2024-12-19 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 Boston Bruins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 64.4%
BOS: 35.6%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.43
BOS: 2.83
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 44%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • EDM at home vs BOS: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | EDM 2 - 6 BOS | BOS | EDM |
| 2025-12-18 | BOS 1 - 3 EDM | EDM | BOS |
| 2025-01-07 | BOS 0 - 4 EDM | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-12-19 | EDM 3 - 2 BOS | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-03-05 | BOS 1 - 2 EDM | EDM | EDM |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EDM | 8 | 0 | 0.19 |
| 1 | BOS | 19 | 2 | 1.33 |
| 2 | EDM | 18 | 1 | 1.24 |
| 2 | BOS | 11 | 1 | 0.93 |
| 3 | EDM | 12 | 0 | 0.65 |
| 3 | BOS | 13 | 0 | 0.75 |
| 4 | EDM | 2 | 1 | 0.49 |
| 4 | BOS | 1 | 0 | 0.07 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 64.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8
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