Boston Bruins at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-12-19 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

EDM: 68.9%

BOS: 31.1%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.57

BOS: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Stuart Skinner	26	24	2	92.3%	3.08	3	1.08
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	26	23	3	88.5%	2.58	2	-0.42

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • EDM at home vs BOS: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-31	EDM 2 - 6 BOS	BOS	EDM
2025-12-18	BOS 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-01-07	BOS 0 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-12-19	EDM 3 - 2 BOS	EDM	EDM
2024-03-05	BOS 1 - 2 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	8	0	0.19
1	BOS	19	2	1.33
2	EDM	18	1	1.24
2	BOS	11	1	0.93
3	EDM	12	0	0.65
3	BOS	13	0	0.75
4	EDM	2	1	0.49
4	BOS	1	0	0.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.6 - 2.9