Vancouver Canucks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-12-19 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

VGK: 74.2%

VAN: 25.8%

Expected Goals

VGK: 4.39

VAN: 2.45

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 41%

VGK

Adin Hill - 1-0-2 | 0.888 SV% | 2.73 GAA

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	Adin Hill	20	19	1	95.0%	2.59	3	1.59
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	21	18	3	85.7%	3.16	3	0.16

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • VGK at home vs VAN: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	VAN 1 - 2 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-03-30	VGK 4 - 2 VAN	VGK	VGK
2026-02-04	VGK 5 - 2 VAN	VGK	VGK
2025-04-16	VAN 1 - 4 VGK	VGK	VAN
2025-04-06	VAN 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	7	1	0.50
1	VAN	15	3	1.75
2	VGK	14	0	0.81
2	VAN	4	0	0.39
3	VGK	12	2	1.85
3	VAN	11	0	0.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 4.4 - 2.4