St. Louis Blues at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-12-20 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 2 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

FLA: 79.4%

STL: 20.6%

Expected Goals

FLA: 4.24

STL: 2.57

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 42%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	27	26	1	96.3%	2.22	1	1.22
STL	Joel Hofer	27	25	2	92.6%	1.59	0	-0.41

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • FLA at home vs STL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	STL 5 - 4 FLA	STL	STL
2025-12-20	FLA 2 - 6 STL	STL	STL
2025-02-06	STL 2 - 3 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-12-20	FLA 2 - 1 STL	FLA	FLA
2024-01-09	STL 1 - 5 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	13	0	0.62
1	STL	9	0	0.57
2	FLA	9	0	0.30
2	STL	11	0	0.69
3	FLA	16	0	0.56
3	STL	10	0	0.44
4	FLA	1	0	0.12
4	STL	3	1	0.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 79.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 2 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 4.2 - 2.6