New York Rangers at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2024-12-20 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 1 - 3 New York Rangers
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 54.7%
NYR: 45.3%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.50
NYR: 2.57
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
| Stat | DAL | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.916 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 1.000 | 0.932 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • DAL at home vs NYR: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | DAL 2 - 0 NYR | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-12-02 | NYR 3 - 2 DAL | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-01-07 | NYR 4 - 5 DAL | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-12-20 | DAL 1 - 3 NYR | NYR | DAL |
| 2024-02-20 | NYR 3 - 1 DAL | NYR | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:46 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 10:44 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 15:20 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 17:54 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 1 - 3 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.5 - 2.6
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