Colorado Avalanche at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2024-12-20 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 2 - 4 Colorado Avalanche
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 58.6%
COL: 41.4%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.20
COL: 3.06
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
| Stat | ANA | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.947 | 0.962 |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • ANA at home vs COL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | COL 1 - 2 ANA | ANA | COL |
| 2025-11-11 | COL 4 - 1 ANA | COL | COL |
| 2025-04-13 | ANA 2 - 4 COL | COL | ANA |
| 2024-12-20 | ANA 2 - 4 COL | COL | ANA |
| 2024-10-18 | COL 4 - 3 ANA | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 02:40 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 06:40 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 10:57 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 03:30 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 13:05 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:41 | COL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 2 - 4 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.2 - 3.1