Colorado Avalanche at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2024-12-20 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

ANA: 38.6%

COL: 61.4%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.72

COL: 3.41

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 47%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

COL

Scott Wedgewood - 17-1-4 | 0.919 SV% | 2.13 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	23	19	4	82.6%	3.87	4	-0.13
COL	Scott Wedgewood	32	30	2	93.8%	2.88	0	0.88

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • ANA at home vs COL: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	ANA 1 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2026-01-21	COL 1 - 2 ANA	ANA	COL
2025-11-11	COL 4 - 1 ANA	COL	COL
2025-04-13	ANA 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2024-12-20	ANA 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	16	0	1.23
1	COL	11	1	0.62
2	ANA	11	0	0.64
2	COL	14	1	1.60
3	ANA	14	0	1.01
3	COL	11	2	1.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.7 - 3.4