Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2024-12-21 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 6 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

CGY: 59.9%

CHI: 40.1%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.33

CHI: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • CGY at home vs CHI: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	CHI 1 - 3 CGY	CGY	CGY
2025-11-18	CHI 5 - 2 CGY	CHI	CGY
2025-11-07	CGY 0 - 4 CHI	CHI	CGY
2025-01-13	CHI 2 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2024-12-21	CGY 6 - 4 CHI	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	18	0	1.28
1	CHI	11	0	0.70
2	CGY	13	0	0.81
2	CHI	11	0	0.56
3	CGY	8	2	1.62
3	CHI	12	3	2.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 6 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8