San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2024-12-21 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 63.1%
SJS: 36.9%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.52
SJS: 2.81
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
| Stat | EDM | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.874 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 1.000 | 0.875 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • EDM at home vs SJS: 4-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | EDM 4 - 3 SJS | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-04-16 | SJS 0 - 3 EDM | EDM | SJS |
| 2025-04-11 | EDM 4 - 2 SJS | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-04-03 | SJS 2 - 3 EDM | EDM | SJS |
| 2024-12-21 | EDM 3 - 2 SJS | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:21 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 07:07 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 03:23 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 19:42 | EDM | Goal |
| 4 | 00:18 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.5 - 2.8