Buffalo Sabres at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2024-12-21 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 3 - 1 Buffalo Sabres
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 62.7%
BUF: 37.3%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.60
BUF: 3.10
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | BOS | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.889 | 0.934 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.955 | 0.885 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • BOS at home vs BUF: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-27 | BUF 4 - 1 BOS | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-10-30 | BOS 4 - 3 BUF | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-10-11 | BOS 3 - 1 BUF | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-04-06 | BUF 6 - 3 BOS | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-03-17 | BOS 2 - 3 BUF | BUF | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:15 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 18:23 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 18:15 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 19:08 | BOS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 3 - 1 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.6 - 3.1