Detroit Red Wings at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2024-12-21 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 5 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

MTL: 59.4%

DET: 40.6%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.51

DET: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • MTL at home vs DET: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	DET 3 - 1 MTL	DET	MTL
2026-01-10	MTL 0 - 4 DET	DET	MTL
2025-10-09	DET 1 - 5 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-04-08	MTL 4 - 1 DET	MTL	MTL
2025-01-23	DET 4 - 2 MTL	DET	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	MTL	16	1.11
1	DET	12	0.83
2	MTL	11	0.73
2	DET	15	0.87
3	MTL	11	0.67
3	DET	10	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 5 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.5 - 3.1